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Risk Analysis for Refinery Upgrade

Learn how large energy company uses risk analysis

Risk Analysis for Refinery Upgrade

Client Overview

Client is a Canadian integrated energy company based in Calgary, Alberta. The refinery based in this case study began refining crude oil in 1955. The refinery produces a full range of refined petroleum products that includes gasoline, distillate, heavy fuel oil, solvents, asphalt and petrochemicals. It is also a leading producer of petrochemical products.

Challenges

  • Project was underway, but there was debate as to whether it was required because of a merger.

  • There was a lot of uncertainty around the project budget.

Results

  • The analysis showed that the project would cost significantly more than the budgeted amount.

  • The analysis showed that the project would be later than scheduled.

  • As a result of the risk analysis, the project was cancelled.

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